Archive for the ‘Islam Extremism’ Category

 

starfishspider

The vicious attacks by Islamist terrorist in Brussels this week firmly places Brussels, and the rest of western Europe, in the middle of the crescent of chaos that arcs from Tunisia to Sweden.

The arrest of Paris terror suspect Salah Abdeslam last Friday in Brussels took down one person and unwittingly unleashed a network of other terrorists who took over thirty lives in an orgy of terror and shut down an entire country if not all of Europe.

Belgium authorities touted Abdelslam’s arrest last weekend much the same way the Obama administration telegraphs the latest drone or Special Operations strike in Syria/Iraq/Libya with the ubiquitous headline “Number Two ISIS Commander Eliminated.” There have been so many “number two” ISIS commanders reportedly killed there is no mystery why we never hear of a “number three” in ISIS.

In 2008 Ori Brafman and Rod Beckstrom wrote a study of leaderless organizations, “The Starfish and the Spider” which was little read until recently. In this study Brafman and Beckstrom look at the fruitless strategy of targeting individuals in decentralized organizations such as ISIS. They do this by comparing a spider and a starfish, which look similar from a distance but up close are fundamentally different systems.

Killing a starfish is significantly different from killing a spider. A spider can be stopped by crushing its head because it is a centralized system.  If one tries to cut off a leg of a starfish not only does that leg grow back, but a new starfish emerges from that severed leg because its decentralized  system.

In combatting a decentralized terror network like ISIS, going after a known individual is like cutting off a starfish leg. The immediate threat is neutralized but the system lives on to metastasize into an even larger threat.

Belgium authorities saw what they thought was a spider in arresting one person only to be confronted with a starfish in the form of an ISIS network which struck with such force because authorities simply were not ready.

The Obama administration would be wise to peer through its policy binoculars and evaluate whether ISIS is the spider they assume it is…or is it a starfish?

 

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network

The Nobel Committee announced today this year’s recipients for Physics. They are Takaaki Kajita and Arthur B. McDonald for research into neutrino oscillations. What is a neutrino? Neutrinos are subatomic particles produced by the decay of radioactive elements.  They are elementary particles that lack an electric charge, or, as F. Reines would say, “…the most tiny quantity of reality ever imagined by a human being”. Living in Washington, I can imagine a tiny amount of reality.

Looking at the definition of the neutrino phenomenon and applying it elsewhere, could there a better description of our current foreign policy blunder in Syria?

It was revealed today that the US considered handing over locations of US backed rebels to the Russians last week, thinking these areas might be targeted by Russian forces decided against it. Fortunately the White House and Pentagon ran that idea past the desk of Capt. Obvious who thought it better not to give the Russians targeting data for their first bombing runs.

The “most tiny quantity of reality ever imagined”  is what we are stuck with for the next seventeen (17) months with regard to this White House’s timid and indecisive policy regarding Syria and foreign policy.

The nascent US assistance program for the rebels battling the Assad regime is literally going up in smoke with every Russian sortie and the White House has shown no desire to counter these attacks except to “raise concerns about the targets of the attacks.” I’m sure that made the Russians reconsider.

Neutrinos are described as “hardly interacting with the rest of creation.”  This certainly describes this administration’s current foreign policy debacle in Syria-stumbling along outside the realm of reality interacting with no one else within an echo chamber.

Not to worry though, the President already received his Nobel Prize back in 2009.

Taylor_Callery__No_Choice

The White House held a hastily convened news conference yesterday to shore up flagging support for the recently concluded nuclear deal with Iran.  In that news conference President Obama narrowed the conversation regarding its merits — that we should be enlightened and intelligent enough to see the world in his terms or, in his inference, admit to our own ignorance in opposing it.

Some choice.

This is familiar territory with this White House.  The President believes there is never a choice when it comes to disagreeing with his vision of right and wrong.  The conversation, such as it is, ends with a “my way or the highway” fait accompli.

In reality there is a third way to consider the President’s deeply flawed agreement. He claims that the only alternative to his diplomacy is war.  In fact, the third alternative is that a better agreement can be achieved through better negotiations by the US.

This agreement leaves gaping holes in the verification process as well as the storage of processed fissionable material which has Russia as a guarantor of its safety.  Let’s be clear on this — Russia, a kleptocractic state, that recently committed one of the most flagrant acts of aggression in Europe when it forcibly took over of over 30% of Ukraine (Crimea as well as swaths of eastern Ukraine), is going to be a central guardian in curbing the nuclear ambition of one of the most flagrant aggressors in the Middle East. Ok, I got it.

Meanwhile Mr. Obama told us the problem lies within our own embarrassing inability to see his global perspective; in short we cannot perceive the brilliance of his own vision and intellectual dexterity. In reality this agreement clears the path for Iran to acquire weapons of mass destruction and frees billions of dollars so Iran can continue its policies of mayhem and destruction in its immediate neighborhood.

Mr. Obama stated within fifteen minutes of reaching this deal that he would veto any Congressional action other than full agreement.   This isn’t a choice.  This is not leadership.  This is rule by fiat.  We just celebrated the 239th anniversary of rejecting this path…when a choice was still a choice.

 

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Yesterday British authorities named the masked terrorist with a British accent that has appeared in over six recent beheading videos. “Jihadi John” has been unmasked as Mohammed Emwazi, formally of West London.

Emwazi reportedly immigrated from Kuwait to Britain as a child and is a computer science graduate from University of Westminister. His long path to radicalization is well documented as British intelligence allegedly knew who he was and apparently interviewed him at least once before he made his way to Syria in 2013.

His closest friends/associates expressed shock and dismay when reacting to this outing of the “face” of ISIS. CAGE, a alleged human rights group, which has dubious connections to Islamic extremists in Britain, claimed that it was actually British intelligence (MI 5) who radicalized Emwazi through their constant harassment and intimidation of him.

By stating that it was MI 5 who pushed Emwazi into the Islamic extremist camp the Muslim public square absolves itself from any responsibility in addressing extremism from its own ranks. CAGE’s line of thinking releases Emwazi from his cold blooded behavior by implying he never would have secretly moved to Syria, joined ISIS, committed murder on video (there is video of his beheading a Syrian soldier), participated in systematic torture of Western, be the on-camera spokesman for ISIS and the last voice six hostages heard before being beheaded…..if MI 5 would have not questioned him after he failed to make his way to Somalia in a previous trip.

Perhaps they also could claim that he was teased in gym class as a child as well, which led to his decision to commit murder and wage war on modernity.

We can anticipate a parade of friends and associates to state in the coming days that this is out of character from the person that they knew and it must have been “something” else that transformed Emwazi into the murderer seen in numerous videos. In reality it wasn’t MI 5 or the lack of employment (please take note Marie Harf, US State Department Deputy Spokesperson)….it was Islamic extremism.

Radicalization of Muslim youth in the West will never be properly addressed until the Muslim community, the public square in the West, claims it as a challenge from within. Consequently, the West will not come to a basic understating of Islamic extremism until it finally acknowledges it as a grave challenge to the community of nations.

The chicken comes before the egg.  Emwazi’s radicalization brought about his investigation. His decision to adopt Islamic extremism is a personal decision that he is now personally responsible for choosing.

 

 

earnest

On February 14, 1895 Oscar Wilde’s The Importance of Being Earnest debuted in London. The play raised triviality to new heights and mocked the then contemporary Victorian society and its values. The play’s theme was, in the words of Wilde, “”that we should treat all trivial things in life very seriously, and all serious things of life with a sincere and studied triviality.” This would include even ignoring the major problems in one’s life in order to concentrate on such minor things such as cucumber sandwiches.   The inversion of real values and the mocking of reality is haunting as we once again watch this administration ignore the obvious in order to focus on the inconsequential.

The White House has concluded its conference on violent extremism this week with many observers still searching for a theme and a cogent reason for its gathering. Like most initiatives coming out of this administration, an unsteady and fragile summary is substituted for a much needed focused and robust pronouncement of the challenge faced.  But then that challenge, Islamic extremism, was never named albeit addressed comprehensively.

It seems the Washington rendition of Wilde’s satirical play was in the form of this week’s conference on violent extremism. Over sixty foreign government officials attended as well as numerous US officials all to participate in what appears to be an echo chamber repeating the excuse “it’s not our fault.” The unspoken reason for convening a conference such as this is the violence that has spread within the Muslim public square.  As long as this administration continues down this path of substituting the trivial for the meaningful, a real solution in combatting ISIS, al Qaeda, al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula, al Shaabab, and Boko Haram will remain elusive.  Meanwhile these violent groups with Islamic extremism at their core will continue to gather new recruits and seek new targets.

Oscar Wilde’s The Importance in Being Earnest closed after only 86 performances. Meanwhile we still have 626 performances remaining in order for this administration to get this right.

You have to wonder what was served with this week’s cucumber sandwiches.

 

jobs

The awaited “long strategy” in combating ISIS/ISIL/IS was unveiled two days ago when State Department Deputy Spokesperson Marie Harf stated we “cannot kill our way out of this war”  but rather we must create economic opportunities through job creation and entrepreneurial start-ups in order to go to the source of jihadi recruitment. Leaving most who heard her…. speechless.

To begin with most Americans would be surprised to find that the US is currently “at war” with ISIS. Though a non-binding, noncommittal resolution was slingshot to Congress from the White House last week it would be a war with no ground troops, a defined time limit and by the looks of it, one lacking a coherent strategy.

Secondly, to believe that economic opportunities would dissuade potential recruits from joining ISIS is naive if not simply dangerous in its misunderstanding of the nature of Islamic extremism. These young men, along with the women, now being recruited by ISIS are not the unemployed and disaffected youth Ms. Barth would like to neatly place in that category.  Many of the new recruits are highly educated, financially well off and determined to bring the West to its destruction. They are leaving not only family but careers and futures in the West in the hopes of bringing that world they left to its knees.

Osama bin Laden was not exactly a man who was reduced to counting his pennies and looking for handouts. Leadership of the Taliban in Afghanistan are engineers, doctors and other professionals with advanced degrees and established careers. All these are not men looking for a few dollars to either blow themselves up and to wage war against modernity. They sacrifice futures that they , as all professionals, study and work for but willingly left behind for an ideology and not just a job.

The blind spot with this administration is a fundamental disconnect with the reality that there is an ideology born within Islam, fostered by those who simply want to hate. That hatred is directed at those who are not like them….which would be the West.  The West is defined by everything from Plato to NATO. That would include the United States, Ms. Harf.

Finally, there is little benefit in projecting community development polices on the world stage. Job creation, educational counseling and midnight basketball will do nothing to stop ISIS in their drive to destroy Western civilization. Taking these terrorists off the battlefield in the most lethal way will.

 

 

Rose-Colored-Glasses

The White House released its budget for 2016 and with it President Obama revealed his vision of the threats that he sees  confronting the United States in 2015. The White House is still clinging to the misguided belief that a “pivot to Asia” is the first foreign policy priority facing the US this year while dismissing the chaos in eastern Ukraine and the spiraling violence under ISIS (ISIL of Islamic State…take your pick) in Syria and Iraq as short term challenges.

John Kerry, US Secretary of State, confirmed these missteps by stating the pivot to Asia remains“a top priority for every one of us in [Obama’s] administration.” This tragedy of group think in this administration is ignoring the obvious and dismissing the dangerous.  Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and ISIS’ nation grab are massive challenges the the US and the community of nations writ large will have to contend with for years to come.

The Obama administration came into power six years ago with a commitment to “pivot” or to swing away from Europe and the Middle East and focus on Asia. One has to credit the White House that despite the erasure of borders in Europe and the Middle East through state sponsored aggression, they have remained true to their original vision.

This week The Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) released their ten priorities in foreign policy issues for 2015. This is a compilation by leading scholar/practitioners in the foreign policy world. Those top ten priorities are:

-the intensification of the conflict in Iraq
-a large-scale attack on the U.S. homeland or ally
-a cyberattack on U.S. critical infrastructure
-a severe North Korean crisis
-the renewed threat of Israeli military strikes against Iran
-an armed confrontation in the South China Sea
-the escalation of the Syrian civil war
-rising violence and instability in Afghanistan
-increased fighting in eastern Ukraine
-heightened Israeli-Palestinian tensions

CFR’s top ten included two focusing on east Asia. The overwhelming majority of challenges remain focused on Europe and the Middle East.

It is time to place politics and ego aside and focus on the clear and present dangers that confront the US today. Sovereign states have been invaded and occupied (Ukraine) by an aggressor nation (Russia) while a well organized terrorist organization (ISIS)  has swept into Iraq and Syria and is now a center for Islamic extremism.

It’s time for the White House to rethink its long held pivot to Asia in favor of a pivot to reality.